1月新型コロナ感染爆発のカラクリ

新型コロナは「人的交流が活発に行われた」2週間後に新規感染者が増加する。12月10日に「民間給料日・忘年会」が行われクリスマス感染を引き起こす。クリスマス・年末の「人的交流」が1月の一日2000人超えの新規感染者を産む。

東京・埼玉・千葉「知事の緊急事態宣言発出要請」を受けざるを得ない形で、12月28日ゴーツー事業を停止する。ゴーツー停止前の駆け込み忘年会も、新規感染者を増加させる。

1月の感染爆発を産んだのはゴーツー事業である。新型ウィルスのゲノム解析を行う。ゴーツー事業が、東京型ウィルスを地方に、ばら撒いた根拠・証拠・エビデンスは、はっきりしている。ゴーツー事業を停止した途端、地方の感染者数は減少に転じた。

現在、アメリカ・インド・イギリス・ドイツ・フランス、世界各国で1月にピークを付けた感染者数が減少に転じている。新型コロナの季節要因である。新型コロナの流行は季節により、波を打って増加現象を繰り返す。日本も、1月にピークを打った感染者増加が減少に転じている。

しかし、同時に日本は、保健所がパンクして「積極的疫学調査・濃厚接触者の追跡調査を止める」という方針を全国に通達している。小さな役所である保健所でPCR検査・ワクチン接種の采配業務を同時進行するのは無理である。

竹中平蔵は肝心な時に何処へ消えたのか。保健所の利権・既得権益であるPCR検査を構造改革し、民営化すれば、検査数は1日2万件を達成出来る。

現在、東京の1日の検査数は1万件に減少している。緊急事態宣言を延長し、PCR検査数を減らせば、緊急事態宣言の出口が探れなくなる。

イギリス型変異ウィルス・南アフリカ型変異ウィルス・ブラジル型変異ウィルス。77か国で確認されている。日本に流入し、埼玉ではイギリス型変異ウィルスがクラスターを発生させる。「変異株ウィルスの面の広がりは確認出来ていない」という楽観論は呑気過ぎる。変異ウィルスは3か月で流行の主流のウィルスと置き換わる。変異株ウィルスは感染力が強く、症状が発症するのが早く、10歳の子供にも感染する。

変異株ウィルスが流行の主流となれば、今まで「子供・若者の感染リスクは低い」と繰り返してきた、言い逃れが通用しなくなる。子供・若者に感染した場合、後遺症も怖い。

厚労省の「濃厚接触者追跡アプリ・ココア」も相変わらず、当てに成らない。陽性判定された本人がアプリに、判定結果を入力する。その際、パスワードを誤って入力してしまい。追跡アプリとして機能しない。

現在、重症患者が救急車で搬送され、受け入れ病院を探しても30件の病院から受け入れ拒否される。この事態が医療崩壊である。

コロナ専門病棟を増やす。PCR検査数を増やす。濃厚接触者の追跡調査・クラスター潰しを徹底的にやる。感染者数が減少に転じたかに見える、今、取り組むべき課題である。

イギリス型変異ウィルス・南アフリカ型変異ウィルス・ブラジル型変異ウィルスのゲノム解析による特定も必須である。南アフリカ型・ブラジル型には、ワクチンが効かない恐れがある。

ワイドショーの馬鹿司会者が「緊急事態宣言の効果で新規感染者が減りました」と見え見えの一喜一憂を発揮する度に、1日100人ずつ死亡者が出ている事態をどう受け止めるのか問いただしたい。マスゴミのぬか喜びが、ゴーツー事業復活・ワクチン接種時期の遅延・オリンピック強行の狼煙であると見做している。

国民を油断させるメディアコントロールこそ、感染症対策法・改正コロナ法で刑事罰に問うべきである。

毎日新聞。
埼玉県は5日、同県内の10歳未満~60代の男女11人について、英国由来の新型コロナウイルスの変異株に感染していたと発表した。いずれも英国の滞在歴はなかった。このうち10歳未満の男女6人を含む10人は、10歳未満の子どもが通う同じ施設の関係者で、県は変異株の集団感染が発生したとみて調べている。

県によると、同じ施設の10人は、これまで変異株の感染が判明している人とのつながりは確認されていない。施設関係者や家族に濃厚接触者が計61人おり、県は順次検査を進めている。

残る1人は30代女性で、既に県内で感染が判明している30代男性の同居家族だった。11人はいずれも軽症か無症状で、軽症者は1月下旬に発症した。

厚生労働省は同一施設内で変異株のクラスター(感染者集団)が発生したとみているが、県内で広く市中感染が起きている証拠はないとの認識を示した。

また、1月に埼玉の職場を通じて変異株のクラスターが判明したケースとは直接的なつながりはないとみている。

日テレニュース。
新型コロナウイルスによる政府の緊急事態宣言が続く東京都内で、新たに577人の感染と、22人の死亡が確認されました。江戸川区の保育園では、これまでに感染者20人を出すクラスターが発生しています。

東京都内の新たな感染者は、10歳未満から100歳以上までの577人で、都内の感染者は、8日連続で1000人を下回りました。

重症化するリスクが高い65歳以上の高齢者は145人いて、全体の感染者数の25パーセントを超えています。

また、江戸川区の保育園でクラスターが発生し、2歳から6歳までの園児12人の感染が確認され、区によりますと、これまでに職員も含め、20人の感染が確認されたということです。

一方、新たに60代から90代までの男女22人の死亡が確認されました。

そのうち、2人の70代男性は、自宅で急に体調が悪くなり病院に搬送されましたが、その後死亡し、死後に検査を行ったところ新型コロナウイルスへの感染が確認されたということです。 都内の感染者の累計は10万2777人で、死者は996人となり、重症者は2人増えて117人でした。

MRO北陸放送。
石川県は新たに男女25人に新型コロナウイルスへの感染が確認されたと発表しました。接客を伴う飲食店の関連で新たに感染者の集団=クラスターも発生しています。

新たに感染が確認されたのは、10代~80代までの男女25人です。このうち、金沢市に住む20代の男女11人は、接客を伴う県内の飲食店の従業員、利用客とその接触者です。

すでに感染が確認されていた20代男性と合わせ、この店の関連の感染者はあわせて12人に上り、県は新たに感染者の集団=クラスターが発生したと認定しました。

この店では消毒や換気などの感染対策は取られていましたが、マスクを外して飲食をする場面があったということです。また、中には従業員寮で暮らす人もいるということで、保健所では従業員27人と来店客の検査を進めるとしています。

このほか新たな感染者25人のうち8人は感染経路がわかっていません。1日の感染者数25人は、去年9月1日の27人に次いで過去2番目タイの多さとなります。

北野健康福祉部長は会見で「25人という多い数字、若い人が多い。症状感じたらすぐ医療機関を。」と呼びかけました。

県内の感染者はあわせて1519人となり、治療中の人は89人で重症者は2人となっています。

県内の感染状況を示すモニタリング指標では、新規感染者数感染経路不明者数、病床使用率が上昇し、県の総合的な判断は「ステージ2」感染拡大警報を維持しています。

毎日新聞。
菅義偉首相は5日の衆院予算委員会で、新型コロナウイルス対策のスマートフォン向け接触確認アプリ「COCOA(ココア)」の不具合について、「感染防止に一つの対策のカギとなるものであり、大変申し訳なく思っている」と謝罪した。野党側から求められた田村憲久厚生労働相の処分には応じなかった。

立憲民主党の泉健太氏が「国が推奨してきたアプリで不具合が起こり、それを4カ月以上放置した」として田村氏の責任を追及したが、首相は「二度とこうしたことが起こらないように、徹底的に調査して対応するのが私の役割だと思っている」と述べるにとどめた。

また首相は、放送事業会社に勤める長男が総務省幹部を接待したとされる問題に関して「行政がゆがめられないようにするのは当然のことだ。私についていろんなご批判があるのは素直に受け止めて、そう思われないように努めたい」と述べた。ただ、問題の詳細については「全容は把握していない」とし、週刊誌で報じられた写真が長男かどうかについても「顔写真から確定することは難しい」として言及を避けた。

首相は4日の同委員会終了後も長男と電話をしたことを明らかにしたが、「(総務省や会社などが)調査中なので、私自身が立ち入るべきではない。調査には事実に基づき報告するように長男に伝えた」とした。

有罪判決が確定した河井案里元参院議員の公職選挙法違反事件に関しては「国民の政治不信を招いた批判があることは重く受け止めている」と述べた。

この日はコロナのワクチン接種の任意性についても議題に上り、首相は「ありとあらゆる情報が国民の皆さんに開放されることが大事だ。それ以後(の接種)についてはご本人の判断という形になる」と述べ、接種が強要されるべきではないとの認識を示した。

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