菅義偉と習近平・ゴーツー事業とシャドーバンキング

中国共産党政府が、恥も外聞も無く、国家安全法の押し付けで香港の民主活動家を弾圧する。中国で影の銀行シャドーバンキングが崩壊している。待った無しで、国際金融都市香港を吸収する必要がある。

11月10日永城煤電控股集団が発行したトリプルAの超短期社債「20永煤SCP003」(償還期間270日)が支払い不能に陥り159億円がデフォルトする。永城煤電控股集団は、グループ従業員数18万人・河南省最大の国有企業河南能源化工集団の傘下の石炭大手会社である。永城煤電控股集団の株式96%を河南能源化工集団が保有する。

中国の格付け会社、中誠信国際信用評級は10月10日、永城煤電控股集団に最高ランクの「AAA」トリプルAを付与した。最高ランク格付けの社債が、一か月でデフォルトした。

河南省には鄭州銀行・中原銀行・中原証券など、金融機関・ノンバンクが存在する。何処も159億円を融通出来なかった。

11月11日、「AAA」の格付けは「BB」に引き下げられる。

永城煤電控股集団はデフォルト発生の20日前、額面160億円の中期社債を発行。同会社の償還期限前の社債は23本残っており、総額は3722億円。内1908億円は半年以内に償還期限を迎える。資金繰りの目途が立たないとデフォルトを連発する危険性が高い。

親会社・河南能源加工集団は総資産4兆5235億円。負債総額は3兆7667億円。負債比率は83%。

清華大学が支援する半導体メーカー紫光集団・自動車メーカー華晨汽車集団、大手企業も相次いでデフォルト。

信用力が無いのは共産党政府か、河南省か、国有企業か、子会社か。信用力が無い企業に「AAA」を格付けする手口はウォール街である。中国の格付けも信用出来ない。中国の影の銀行シャドーバンキングバブルは、ドルの借金建てで膨れ上がっている。

イギリスブレグジットがハードランディングと成る。EUとの貿易関税交渉が暗礁に乗り上げたと言いつつ。国際金融都市ロンドンシティの金融機関がEU・スイスに流出した痛手にイギリスが、今、気付いたのであろう。共産党政府が欲しがった香港と、真逆の事がロンドンシティに起きている。

CBDCとは中央銀行デジタル通貨。中国はG7に先んじて「デジタル人民元」の大規模実験を開始した。

Qアノン陰謀論が100%迷信なら信憑性がゼロとなる。陰謀論は一部、真実が含まれるので、まことしやかに欧米に拡大する。ディープステート・国際金融資本・エスタブリッシュメントが世界を牛耳っているのは真実である。ディープステートの実態はロスチャイルド・ロックフェラー・世界決済銀行BIS・IMF等。

リーマンショック後のFRBのQE政策。今年だけで500兆円を発行する。基軸通貨ドルの世界支配は、もはや無理。国際決済銀行BISを拠点に。国際統一通貨を創設する。国際統一通貨はデジタル通貨である。スイスバーゼルにはハプスブルク家のプライベートバンクが置かれた。中央銀行制度はバーゼルを金融センターとして生まれ・発展した。ロスチャイルドはハプスブルク家の家臣である。BISもバーゼルに在る。

IMFは1969年に国際通貨・SDR・特別引き出し権を設立している。今、IMF・BIS・ロスチャイルドは、SDRを経て世界統一通貨グローバルカレンシーを創設している。世界統一通貨がデジタル通貨である。

中国は世界統一通貨の実験場にされている。「デジタル人民元」は国際社会実験であり、本命は国際決済銀行BISが発行する世界統一通貨グローバルカレンシーである。

世界統一通貨・デジタル通貨が確立し、世界に流通する時、基軸通貨だったドルはどうなる。ドル建ての借金バブルの中国シャドーバンキングはどうなる。アメリカの債券を農林中金・ゆうちょ銀行・GPIF・三大メガバンク・SBIで抱える日本経済はどうなる。

ゴーツー事業、一点張りの菅義偉に、迫りくる世界金融恐慌が見えているだろうか。

朝日新聞。
政府は8日、新型コロナウイルスの感染拡大を受けた今年度3回目となる経済対策を閣議決定した。国の直接の支出は30・6兆円、融資や民間が使うお金も含めた総額の事業規模は73・6兆円に上る。感染の再拡大を受けた対応に加え、政権が重視する公共事業なども盛り込まれ、金額が膨らんだ。

対策は3本柱で、事業規模は新型コロナの感染防止策が6兆円▽コロナ後に向けた経済構造の転換と好循環の実現が51・7兆円▽国土強靱(きょうじん)化のための公共事業が5・9兆円。菅義偉首相はこの日の経済財政諮問会議で、今回の対策により、GDP(国内総生産)を3・6%程度押し上げる効果を見込んでいるとした。

必要な費用は、今年度の第3次補正予算案と来年度の当初予算案に計上し、年内に閣議決定する。当初予算案には、国会の議決を経ずに使える予備費をコロナ用に5兆円計上。対応を素早く行えるようにするとしたが、使い道のチェックが甘くなる可能性がある。

コロナの感染対策としては、地方自治体の医療体制の整備にあてる「緊急包括支援交付金」を増額。感染拡大を防ぐため、時短営業をした飲食店への協力金に使える「地方創生臨時交付金」も1・5兆円増やす。

コロナで打撃を受けた企業や個人への支援策の延長も多い。観光支援策「Go To トラベル」と飲食店支援策「Go To イート」は来年6月末まで延長。雇用調整助成金の特例措置も2月末まで延長し、3月以降の段階的な縮小をめざす。

Jキャストニュース。
菅義偉内閣の支持率が各マスコミの世論調査で急落し、内閣が進めるGo Toキャンペーンに与党内からも批判が出たとも報じられている。

新型コロナウイルスの感染対策を評価しないとの声が多く、支持率を下げているようだ。菅政権には、どんな国のかじ取りが求められているのだろうか。

■前月より10ポイント前後低い50~60%ぐらいの水準 「なんで下の原稿ばかり読んでいるのだろうか」「目に生気が感じられないし語り方に熱意を感じられない」「国会閉じてる場合じゃないぞ」…  臨時国会が会期末を迎えた2020年12月4日、菅首相は、就任時の9月16日以来となる記者会見を夕方に行った。しかし、抜本的な感染対策が見られなかったとして、会見内容を伝えるネットニュースのコメント欄では、こんな手厳しい意見が支持を集めた。

菅首相は就任前後から、携帯電話料金の値下げや不妊治療への保険適用などの政策を打ち出し、4日の会見では、「ポストコロナの成長の軸となるのがグリーン、デジタルだ」として、温室効果ガスを30年後にゼロにする「脱炭素化」の政策も発表した。8日夜には、これらを盛り込んだ73兆円規模の追加経済対策を閣議決定している。

その一方、コロナ対策では、飲食店の時短営業を進めるとしたが、Go Toトラベルについては、高齢者の利用自粛などを呼びかけたものの、感染拡大との因果関係は認めず、キャンペーンの延長決定までした。重症者増加で医療体制がひっ迫し、大阪や北海道では自衛隊の出動要請までしているとあって、ネット上でも、不満が高まっているようだ。

こうした声を反映して、各マスコミが12月上旬に行った世論調査では、内閣支持率が軒並み下落している。読売新聞や共同通信などの結果を見ると、前月より10ポイント前後低い50~60%ぐらいの水準に留まっている。

「早期退陣の可能性もあり、選挙で負ければ退陣論高まる」。
菅政権は、発足からわずか3か月で、なぜ支持率の急落を招いてしまったのだろうか。

政治評論家の有馬晴海さんは、J-CASTニュースの取材に対し、こんな見方を示した。 「安倍晋三政権の末期は、支持率が50%を切って、菅さんが総理になると、20ポイントほども上がりました。それは、安倍さんが世襲政治家でアベノミクスなどのアドバルーンを上げていたのに対し、菅さんは、叩き上げとして実務で安倍さんを支えていたため、何をやってくれるのだろうかと期待があったのだと思います。しかし、アメリカの大統領のように、ハネムーンの100日間で具体的な成果が見えないと、今度は何をやっているんだと言われるようになります」。

Go Toキャンペーンを中止にしていれば、感染拡大が収まった可能性があるが、ともに進める二階俊博幹事長に自民党内の調整を頼っているため、難しかったのではないかとみる。

このままでは、どんどん支持率が落ち込むといい、菅首相では選挙は戦えないと党内の声が高まれば、早期退陣の可能性もないとは言えないという。少なくとも選挙で負ければ、退陣論が高まるのではないかとしている。

「長期政権にするには、評価されるような政策を自分で見つける必要があると思います。お金を使うところを考え、病院を離れた看護師に戻って来てもらうために、給料をアップするといったことも考えられるでしょう。自衛隊の看護師は、災害が起こったときに必要ですので、事前に看護師を用意できるようにしておくべきでした。この国の将来ビジョンも明確にし、収入が月3万円増えるような経済にするといった政策を打ち出すなど、首相としての発信力を付けないといけないと思いますね」 。

毎日新聞。
新型コロナウイルス感染拡大で、がんの治療や検査への影響が顕在化している。患者支援に取り組む一般社団法人「CSRプロジェクト」(桜井なおみ代表理事)の調査では、治療中の4人に1人が治療内容や予定を変更していた。桜井さんは「感染への不安による受診抑制に加え、経済的困窮で治療を控える人が相当数出てくる恐れもある」と指摘する。

東京都内の会社員男性(48)は現在、定期的に入院して抗がん剤治療を続けている。だが、治療を受けている病院がコロナ患者用の病床を増やした影響で、12月は入院が予定より11日、1月も1週間遅れるという。男性は「この先きちんと治療が続けられるのか。入院が先延ばしになると、がんが進行してしまうのではないかと怖い」と打ち明ける。

CSRプロジェクトは10月12、13両日、新型コロナ感染拡大に伴う治療の影響などについて、インターネットで調査を実施した。診断から5年以内、診断時に収入を伴う仕事をしていたがん患者が対象で、計310人(平均年齢57・1歳)から回答を得た。最も多かったのは大腸がん(22・3%)で、次いで乳がん(13・2%)▽前立腺がん(12・6%)――など。

調査時は感染拡大の「第3波」の前だったが、「感染拡大で治療内容やスケジュール(外来、検査など)を変更した」と回答したのが40人(12・9%)。薬物療法や外科手術、放射線治療をキャンセル・延期した人は延べ15人いた。

治療などを変更した人の42・5%(17人)は医療機関や主治医ではなく、自分自身の判断や患者仲間の助言で変更を決定。「院内や通勤中の感染への不安」を理由に挙げる人が多かった。新型コロナ関連の情報源は、テレビやラジオ▽インターネット▽自治体や国など公的機関――が多く、学会や医療機関からの情報を利用する人は少なかった。

また、回答者の約2割が収入減に直面しており、経済的な理由による受診抑制も懸念されるという。桜井さんは「安心して治療を続けられる医療体制、経済支援策の拡充が必要だ。患者側は自分の判断で治療の延期を決めず、必ず主治医に相談してほしい」と話す。

日刊ゲンダイデジタル。
政府が「勝負の3週間」と呼びかけてから2週間。しかし、感染再拡大は、いっこうに止まらない。医療体制の逼迫が懸念される北海道、大阪府、東京都だけでなく、全国各地で新規感染者は高止まり。グーグルの感染予測も7日時点で、4日から31日までの28日間に7万6000人が感染するとはじき出している。そんな中、政府のコロナ対策分科会の尾身茂会長の口から衝撃発言が飛び出した。

大阪の吉村知事は7日、医療従事者を確保するため、政府に自衛隊看護師の派遣を要請。北海道も派遣要請するという。

北海道と大阪に続き、愛知もピンチだ。連日200人前後の新規感染者が発生し、名古屋市の河村市長は7日、市内の病床の9割が埋まっていることについて危機感をあらわにした。

埼玉や神奈川、兵庫でも感染者数は100~200人と高止まり。7日の全国の重症者は530人で、過去最多を更新した。

必要なのは民間の検査センター支援。
全国各地に「第3波」が襲来しているこのタイミングで、尾身会長は衝撃的な事実を口にした。

6日放送のNHKの日曜討論。番組終了間際、司会者から「年末年始に心がけること」を問われた尾身会長は、次のように言い放ったのだ。 「実は日本がしのいできた理由のひとつに、クラスターを早く見つけて感染源を(特定した)ということがあるんですけど、もう保健所が疲弊して、クラスターの感染源を見つけるという方法が取れなくなっている」。

日本が感染拡大を阻止してきた切り札である「クラスター対策」を、もう使えなくなった――と白状したのだ。要するに「敗北宣言」である。この発言には、出演していたコロナ担当の西村経済再生相もビックリしたのか、こわばった表情を隠さなかった。

医療ガバナンス研究所理事長の上昌広氏がこう言う。 「政府は今年2月のダイヤモンドプリンセス号での集団感染で、無症状感染者がいると把握したにもかかわらず、クラスター追跡にこだわって無症状感染者を野放しにしてきました。その時から今まで、対策を誤ってきたのです。本来ならPCR検査を徹底的に拡大するべきだったのです。クラスター追跡ができないと認めたのなら、早急に方針転換し、民間のPCR検査センターを支援するべきです。誰でも『頻回検査』できるようにすることが、感染拡大防止の要ですからね」。

この先、第3波はどこまで広がってしまうのか。AIを用いたグーグルの感染予測によると、31日までに全国で7万6000人が感染するというから恐ろしい。 「日本は欧州や米国に比べて死者も少ないし、医療体制も充実しているはずなのに、医療崩壊を起こしつつあります。国の『専門家』が政治的な判断で、根拠不明な入院基準などを医療現場に持ち込むから、他国に比べて異様な状況になってしまっているのです」(上昌広氏=前出)。

失敗のツケを払わされるのは国民だ。もっと怒った方がいい。

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