異次元の金融緩和・絶望大国アメリカ

トランプは、ディープステートに敵対する気持ちが有るのか。ディープステートはロスチャイルド・ロックフェラー・ジョージソロス・ビルゲイツ・JPモルガン等、国際金融資本の集合体。ディープステートの一角ロスチャイルドが牛耳るイスラエルとトランプはタッグを組んでいる。イバンカの婿クシュナーはネタニヤフ首相の親友である。

グレーターイスラエル構想。イスラエルを中心点として領土を拡げイスラエル圏を拡大したい。シリア・イラク・サウジアラビア・エジプト・トルコに跨るEUのようなイスラエル圏を創り上げ、世界を支配したい。アメリカの中東分割案PNACはアラブ諸国を、より小さく、より弱い国家に分断し、政権担当能力の低い国に分割して、一まとめにイスラエルに統治させようとする新世紀プロジェクトである。PNACはイスラエルの82年のイーノンプランの実践である。

イスラエルから資金援助を受けた破産王トランプは、ユダヤ教正当派ハバットルハビッチと癒着している。トランプはむしろ、ディープステートの一味である。

現に、イスラエルタルピオットプログラムで、イスラエル軍・ヘブライ大学・産業界選抜メンバーがエリートプログラムを運営し、1000人以上の徴兵プログラム卒業生がGAFA・IT業界のサポートに従事している。世界最強イスラエル諜報機関モサドのノウハウもGAFAに伝授しているかもしれない。

「メイクアメリカグレートアゲイン」も嘘っぱちである。アメリカのトップ50人の資産額220兆円は、アメリカの全人口の下位50%1憶6500万人の資産総計と同額である。アメリカの上位1%の富裕層の資産総額は3620兆円である。下位50%の資産総額の10倍である。

超格差社会・貧富の差を産むのは株保有の有無である。現在アメリカのトップ1%がアメリカ株の50%以上を保有している。次の9%が3分の1を保有している。アメリカの上位10%が株式の89%を保有している。

トランプが「アメリカ株は絶好調だ」と叫んだFRBの量的金融緩和「隠れQE4」「大企業の自社株買い」による株価上昇政策は、国民の上位10%だけを潤している。

コロナ禍でアメリカ成人4分の1が失業保険・補充的栄養支援プログラムSNAP・慈善団体による無償の食事提供を受けている。失業保険は7月に打ち切られ・家賃ローン猶予期限も迫っている。議会の追加の経済支援政策は一向に決定しない。貧困層の救済策が欠落しているのがトランプの不甲斐なさである。

米財務省が16日発表した2020会計年度(19年10月~20年9月)の財政収支の赤字額は、3兆1319億1700万ドル(約330兆円)と過去最大を記録した。新型コロナウイルス流行で企業や家計を支える景気対策を手厚くした影響で、赤字額は前年度の約3・2倍に膨れ上がった。

それでもFRBの無制限の量的金融緩和政策で潤うウォール街は博打を止めない。格差が拡大し、格差が固定化すると人は絶望死する。ブラックライブズマター運動・アンティファVSプラウドボーイズ・ブーガルー・ミリシアの市街戦も絶望死なのかもしれない。

レイシズム・ヘイトスピーチでアメリカ社会を分断したトランプの罪は重過ぎる。

フォーブス。
資産規模で全米最大の銀行であるJPモルガン・チェースは10月13日、ウォール街の予想を覆す決算を発表し、昨年を上回る純利益を計上して決算シーズンの幕開けを迎えた。

ニューヨーク本拠のJPモルガン・チェースの第3四半期(7~9月)の全体的な収入は299億ドル(約3兆1500億円)で、前年同期の300億ドルをわずかに下回ったものの、アナリスト予想の284億ドルを上回った。

一方で第3四半期の純利益は前年同期の91億ドル(1株あたり2.68ドル)から、94億4000万ドル(同2.92ドル)に拡大した。アナリスト予想は1株あたり2.23ドルだった。

純利益の上昇の主要因としては、引当金と貸倒損失を合計した不良債権処理費用(信用コスト)が6億1100万ドルで、前年同期より60%減ったことがあげられる。アナリストらは、パンデミックが個人収入に打撃を与えたことで、25億ドルを見込んでいたが、これを大きく下回った。

この発表を受けて、S&P500とダウ工業株指数の株式先物はそれぞれ0.1%と0.4%下落したが、ハイテク株の多いナスダックの株式先物は1%近く上昇し、アマゾンのプライムデーとアップルのiPhone 12の発表を控える市場にさらなる好材料をもたらした。

「重大な不確実性があるにもかかわらず、当社は、包括的な取り組みで気候変動に対処するためのソリューションを推進し、人々の暮らしを向上させようとしている」と、JPモルガン・チェースの会長兼CEOのジェームズ・ダイモンは声明で述べた。

シティグループも13日、アナリスト予想を上回る32億ドルの利益を計上した。同社は世界金融市場の乱高下を背景にトレーディング収入を16%増加させ、コンシューマー部門の低迷を補うことになった。

ニューヨーク(CNN Business) 米投資銀行大手ゴールドマン・サックスは14日午前、2020年7~9月期の決算を発表した。利益は前年同期比の2倍近い36億ドル(約3800億円)、事業会社の売上高に相当する純営業収益は同30%増と、いずれも市場予想を上回った。

ただ、決算発表を受けたゴールドマンの株価は横ばいだった。 好決算の要因は、3月以降の株式市場の急回復だ。トレーディング部門や資産運用事業の収益が堅調な伸びを示したほか、新規株式公開(IPO)ブームが追い風となって株式引受手数料も増加した。

ゴールドマンのデービッド・ソロモン最高経営責任者(CEO)は報道声明で、新型コロナウイルスの影響で世界が「非常に不透明な環境」にあることを認めつつも、顧客は厳しい経済状況から抜け出しつつあると述べ、ゴールドマンは顧客の回復と成長を助ける絶好の立場にいるとの認識を示した。

専門家の間では経済の回復が小幅にとどまることを懸念する声も多いが、ゴールドマンは来年の景気回復により楽観的な見方を示す。米経済の今年の成長率は3.4%減に落ち込むものの、来年は5.8%の成長が見込めるとしている。

米金融大手はこのところ、7~9月期の決算を相次ぎ発表。投資銀行大手JPモルガン・チェースと資産運用大手ブラックロックの決算は力強い内容だったものの、シティグループとバンク・オブ・アメリカの2行はまちまちの結果だった。

(ブルームバーグ): 米銀ウェルズ・ファーゴの7-9月(第3四半期)決算は、前年同期比で56%の減益となった。過去の不祥事への対応に追われるチャーリー・シャーフ最高経営責任者(CEO)は、人員削減を開始している。

第3四半期の費用は市場の予想外に増加。顧客への補償で10億ドル(約1050億円)近くを、事業再編費用として7億1800万ドルを引き当てた。一方で貸倒引当金は7億6900万ドルと、アナリスト予想(16億5000万ドル)の半分を下回った。

ウェルズが相次ぐ不祥事に見舞われた過去から脱却すべく、シャーフCEOは取り組みを進めている。14日の発表資料で同CEOは、顧客やコミュニティー、従業員の満足度向上に向けて的を絞った行動を取っていると説明した。

また新型コロナウイルスの感染拡大に伴う悪影響や追加景気対策の不確実性により、景気回復の軌道ははっきりしない状態が続いているとの認識を示した。

第3四半期の非金利費用は前年同期から3000万ドル増えて152億ドル。ウェルズは費用の大幅削減に取り組んでおり、人員削減も開始している。9月30日時点での従業員数は27万4900人。年央時点では27万6000人だった。

第3四半期の収入は189億ドルに減少。アナリスト予想(179億5000万ドル)は上回った。純金利収入は19%減の93億9000万ドルだった。

(ブルームバーグ): 米銀シティグループの13日の決算に関する電話会議では、規制当局から同行に科された制裁金や買収活動への新たな制限のほか、最高経営責任者(CEO)の交代など、話題が尽きなかった。

同行に関するニュースが最近相次いだことで、投資家やアナリストの間では不安が高まっている。シティが同業ウェルズ・ファーゴと同様の規制に直面するかもしれないと懸念されているのだ。ウェルズ・ファーゴは、米連邦準備制度理事会(FRB)が課した資産制限のため、少なくとも40億ドル(約4200億円)の利益を得る機会を失った。

シティ幹部とアナリストによる電話会議では、こうした緊張感が表面化。アナリストらは約2時間の会議中、マイク・コルバットCEOに引退の前倒しや、規制当局の懸念解消のために同行が支出すべき金額を明確にすることなどを求めた。

バンク・オブ・アメリカのアナリスト、エリカ・ナジャリアン氏は同会議で「規制問題に関してシティグループが次のウェルズ・ファーゴにならないと、なぜ言い切れるのか」 と質問。「同じ困難な是正への道をたどることはないと、現在と将来の投資家をどう安心させることができるのか」と問いかけた。

コルバットCEOは「広範囲にわたる顧客への損害はなかった。当行は問題の活動から利益を得なかった」と説明。その上で「これは手っ取り早く簡単には解決できないだろう」との見方も示した。

シティグループに米当局が4億ドル制裁金、大型買収の承認義務付け。

(ブルームバーグ): 世界最大級の上場投資信託(ETF)の1つで異例な大規模資金流出入が続いており、ウォール街のアナリストらの頭を悩ませている。

ブルームバーグがまとめたデータによると、運用額1460億ドル(約15兆3600億円)規模のETF「インベスコQQQトラスト・シリーズ1」では過去1カ月間、1日当たりの資金流出入額が平均15億ドルとなっている。9月18日には過去20年で最大の資金流出に見舞われたが、翌営業日には同期間で最大の資金流入を記録。その翌週には30億ドル規模の流入と流出が続き、今週も1日で37億ドルの流入があった。

ナスダック100指数に連動する同ファンドは市場で最も取引されているETFの1つだが、通常のポートフォリオのバランス調整時期とは重ならないとみられる中での大規模な資金流出入の要因を巡り、アナリストの見解は割れている。

個人投資家の新たな投資熱が資金の流れを加速させているとの声がある一方、このところ活発化しているオプション取引のヘッジとして同ETFが使われているとの観測も出ている。また、3月に付けた安値から70%余り上昇しているテクノロジー株の今後の見通しを巡り、強気派と弱気派が綱引きを繰り広げていることが巨額流出入の背景にあると指摘する声もある。

大規模な現金の動きは、オプション取引活発化の副産物かもしれない。13日の個別株オプション市場では、アップル株のオプション取引高が約370万枚に上り、20日平均の195万枚を大幅に上回った。フェイスブック、アマゾン・ドット・コム、ネットフリックス、アルファベット、アップル、マイクロソフトのコールオプション(買う権利)の建玉は9日までの30日間で平均129万枚と、2019年初め以来の高水準となっている。

通常、コールオプションの売り手は自身のポジションのヘッジとして現物株を購入する。しかし、インタラクティブ・ブローカーズのチーフストラテジスト、スティーブ・ソスニック氏によると、QQQのほぼ半分をいわゆるFAANG銘柄が占めているため、同ファンドの購入が「間に合わせ的なヘッジ」になっているという。

デイトレーダーのオプション取引活発化、市場に再び「泡の兆候」か
一方、今年の株式市場回復の原動力となってきた個人投資家の動きが背景にあるとの声もある。ムーアズ・アンド・キャボットのマネジングディレクター、ジェームズ・ピロー氏は、「こうした極端な動きは伝統的投資家によるものではない」とし、人気の投資アプリ「ロビンフッド」利用者やデイトレーダーら個人投資家が動いているに違いないと語った。

(ブルームバーグ): 米銀の利益は新型コロナウイルス感染拡大前の水準に近づき始めているものの、投資家は業界の危機が過ぎ去ったとの見方を信用していない。

大手米銀は今週の決算発表で、短期的な貸倒損失をカバーするために必要な引当金を大部分積み増したほか、新型コロナウイルスのパンデミック(世界的大流行)に伴うトレーディングブームから引き続き恩恵を受けていると説明した。ただ、5大米銀が7ー9月(第3四半期)利益の回復を明らかにしたにもかかわらず、株価は依然として後れを取っている。

JPモルガン・チェースの資産運用部門のチーフストラテジスト、デービッド・ケリー氏は14日のブルームバーグテレビジョンのインタビューで「金融機関の業績は実際にはかなり好調なのに、パンデミックの犠牲者であるかのように扱われている」と指摘した。

市場は、新型コロナ感染拡大に伴い米銀が積み上げた500億ドル(約5兆2600億円)の貸倒引当金が恐らく戻ってこず、業界の痛みが先送りされただけだと示唆している。米経済対策を巡る協議のこう着のため、銀行幹部は多くの顧客に影響を与えている失業が落ち着くのに従来予想より長くかかる可能性を認めた。一部の銀行は、これまで小幅にとどまっていた貸倒損失が来年後半に拡大するとの見通しを示した。

米銀は少なくとも今のところは好調だ。5大米銀の7ー9月の貸倒引当金の積み増し額は計1億7200万ドルにとどまり、4-6月(第2四半期)の280億ドルから99.4%減少した。一方、トレーディング収入は3四半期連続で20%余り増加した。

5大米銀の7ー9月の純利益は計232億ドルと、前四半期の3倍余りとなり、前年同期の水準と比較しても12%下回っているにすぎない。しかし、4大米銀の株価は年初来でいずれも27%超値下がりしている。業種別で銀行のパフォーマンスを下回っているのはエネルギーだけだ。

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    Too cool!

  70. Have you ever considered about adding a little bit more than just your articles?
    I mean, what you say is important and everything. Nevertheless imagine if you added some great pictures or videos to give your posts
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