大発会・日銀からの御祝儀

大発会・日銀からのご祝儀
安倍晋三はプーチン大統領との会談に向けて「北方領土問題を次世代に付け残さないように対話に取り組みたい」と表明する。
安倍は何かにつけて「次世代に付け残さない」と口にするが、どの口が言っているのだろう。
アベノミクスは安倍黒バブルである。
日経平均株価を吊り上げるだけの愚策である。
日銀・黒田総裁は安倍晋三の言うがままに、国債を購入し、過去、日銀が行わなかったETFの購入に踏み切る。
国債が安全資産なのに対し、上場投資信託などリスク商品でしかない。
1月4日、大発会。
例年、新年のご祝儀相場が通例だが、今年は午前中で773円下落した。
午後、日銀からのご祝儀が届く。
日銀が後場にETF(上場投資信託)を買ってくるとの観測が強まったことで、株価の下落は、ようやく下げ止まった。
新年初日から「買い発動」(716億円のETF購入)した日銀に対し、不安を募らせる金融マンが続出している。
日銀は昨年1年間に6兆5040億円のETFを購入。
過去最大の買い入れ額だったばかりか、黒田東彦総裁が目安としていた6兆円を軽く突破した。それだけに市場では、2019年は買い入れ額を減らすべきとの指摘が相次いだ。
日銀は現在、取得価格ベースで約25兆円のETFを保有している。しかも買い入れ中心で、ほぼ売却しない。
市場に流通する浮動株は減少するばかり。
今のペースで日銀が株を買い続けたら、ユニクロのファーストリテイリングは約2年後に浮動株がなくなるといわれている。(株式アナリスト・黒岩泰氏)
日銀にしても、株を買い続けられないことなど百も承知だろう。それでもETF購入をやめられない。
4日の暴落局面で日銀がETFを買っていなかったら、市場は絶望しただろう。
次に暴落が起きたとき、「日銀は動かない」と判断され、株安が止まらなくなる。
そうなったら、売りが売りを呼ぶ大暴落となる。
ただ、実は日銀の事情も絡んでいる。
日経平均が現在の水準を大幅に下回ると、日銀が含み損を抱えることになる。
ニッセイ基礎研究所チーフ株式ストラテジストの井出真吾氏の推計によると、日銀の保有株の損益分岐点は1万8434円(11月末)だ。
4日の最安値は1万9241円。あと800円あまりの下落で含み損が現実になりかねない。
マイナスに転落しないためには、自ら株を買い続け、株価を維持するしかない。
含み損なんてことが公になったら、日銀の信用力は世界的にガタ落ちし、円そのものの信頼度が低下する危険性がある。(黒岩泰氏)
日銀は、まさに〝負のスパイラル〟から抜け出せなくなっている。
日銀のETF購入額を年度ベース(18年4月~19年3月)で見た場合、約1兆4000億円の買い余力があります。月ベースで4600億円程度のETFを購入できる計算。(ちばぎん証券アナリスト・安藤富士男氏)
赤い猿トランプに罵られながら利上げを断行するFRBの方が、よっぽど、ましである。
日銀・黒田は安倍晋三の言いなりで危険過ぎる橋を渡っている。
橋が崩壊するときは日本の財政が破たん・デフォルトするときである。
次世代にどれほど多くの付けを回しているのか。
安倍晋三の頭の中は5年前から、なんの進歩もない。
株価を吊り上げて、人気を取り、憲法改正をやり遂げる。
小学校低学年のレベルである。
猶予はない。
アベノミクスなどバカ政策を廃止して財政健全化に即座に取り組むべきである。

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