大城ガクト高笑い・ウォーレンバフェットの黄昏

大城ガクト高笑い・ウォーレンバフェットの黄昏
スピンドルコインの創始者・実業家の大城ガクト。
主演作の「翔んで埼玉」が大ヒットのお目出度い話である。
香港・シンガポール・マレーシアは共にタックスヘイブンである。
世界中のセレブが節税・脱税・マネーロンダリングの為に、こぞって別荘を構える土地である。
映画の宣伝の為にガクトはバラエティ番組に出まくる。
番組ごとに「クアラルンプールの豪邸を初公開」と初公開詐欺を繰り返す。
ガクト・番組制作者は「ネットの住人はテレビを視ない、テレビの視聴者とネットの住民は棲み分けている」と思い込んでいる。
「テレビは真実を伝えないマスゴミであり、真実はネットの中にある。」と言い張るものはごく一部である。
良識ある大人はテレビで報道番組を視聴し、ネットで裏を取る。
情報の真贋はきちんと取捨選択する。
ガクトが仮想通貨ヘッジファンドに参入するため、本名・大城ガクトを名乗ったのはネットでの出来事である。
ネットの住民しか知らないとでも思っているのか。
ガクトコインとも呼ばれるスピンドルが大暴落し、購入者が全員大損・破産した悲劇をテレビの視聴者は知らないとでも思っているのか。
大城ガクトはバラエティで「僕はミュージシャンだから」と言い張り、一度も「仮想通貨スピンドルの実業家・企業家」と名乗らなかった。
日本テレビ「今夜くらべてみました」では豪邸・エヴァンゲリオン風味にカスタマイズされたスポーツカーを紹介されたシェリー・フット後藤から「何で、こんなにお金を持っているの。」「車だけでウン千万円ですよ。何で儲けてはるんですの。」と具体的に踏み込まれ、
大城ガクトは「輸入や輸出で」とお茶を濁した。
「仮想通貨スピンドルでぼろ儲けしました」の一言が無かった。
スピンドル破産者は大城ガクトの言い分を放送する日本テレビに、どのような感情を抱いただろう。
青汁王子・キング。
メディアを利用して自己宣伝し何千人を騙し数百億を強奪している。
大城ガクトも同罪である。
何故、大城ガクトは無罪放免なのか。
大城ガクトの「ぐるナイ・ゴチになります」「今夜くらべてみました」「ダウンタウンDX」への宣伝出演の件だけで日本テレビはネットの住民から「最悪のマスゴミ」と呼ばれてしかるべきである。
安倍晋三が「貯蓄から投資へ」などと呼びかけるから大城ガクトのような大悪党がのさばることになる。
大城ガクトの犯罪は財務省・国税庁・地検特捜部を通り越した首相案件である。
安倍晋三と投資詐欺師がグルになっているのがアベノミクスだと言われていいのか。
「投資の神様」と呼ばれてきたウォーレン・バフェット氏が苦境にある。
真壁昭男のレポートによると、バフェット氏の率いる、米国の大手投資会社バークシャー・ハサウェイ(バークシャー)が、2018年第4四半期(10~12月期)の決算で約254億ドル(2.8兆円)の巨額赤字を出した。
赤字の主な原因は、筆頭株主として26.7%の株式を保有する米食品大手クラフト・ハインツの株価が大きく下落したことだ。
それに加えて、昨年秋以降の米国の株価下落により多額の評価損が発生した。
元々、バフェット氏の得意な投資の仕方は、多くの投資家が注目しないような一種の“出遅れ株”に投資し、その株式が徐々に値上がりするまで長期投資を続ける手法だ。
そうした投資手法は“バリュー株投資”と呼ばれる。
ところが、最近、通信技術の目覚ましい進歩等によって、値上がり益の見込める株式が先進の技術やビジネスモデルを持つIT関連銘柄に集中する傾向がある。
その結果、バフェット氏の投資手法が、世界経済の速い動きに対応しづらくなっているといえる。
バフェット氏の投資手法の主な特徴は、“バリュー株投資”と、“自分自身でわかるものに投資すること”だ。
老舗のクラフトハインツの株はバリュー株の代表格である。
そうした“バリュー株”と対照的に、成長期待の高いスター企業を“グロース株”という。
GAFA(グーグル、アマゾン、フェイスブック、アップル)などのIT先端銘柄は、その筆頭格だ。
バフェット氏は、事業内容を理解でき、持続的な成長を期待できる企業の株を、できるだけ安く買ってきた。
リーマンショック直後、バフェット氏が米大手金融機関ゴールドマン・サックスに出資したのはよい例だ。
反対に、バフェット氏は“わからないもの”には投資してこなかった。1995年から2000年にかけての米国IT企業の株価高騰(ITバブル)はよい例だ。
当時、多くの投資家が「“ドットコム(.com)”と名の付く企業であれば、成長間違いなし」と過剰な期待を抱き、株を買った。
米国の株式市場では、“買うから上がる、上がるから買う”という根拠なき熱狂が広がり、株価が大きく上昇した。
1998年にFRBが利下げを行い、投資資金が株式に流入しやすい「カネ余り」の状況ができていたことも、バブル膨張を支えた。
株価が永久に上昇し続けることはありえない。
2000年に入ると高値警戒感から米国のIT株価は伸び悩んだ。同年9月にはインテルの決算が予想を下回ったこと(インテルショック)によりITバブルは崩壊し、多くの投資家が莫大な損失に直面した。
バフェット氏は、ITバブルの崩壊による損失を回避できた。理由は、同氏がドットコム企業の経営実態に疑問を抱いたからだ。
周囲が大挙して株を買い始めると、つられてしまいがちだ。
バフェット氏はその状況を忍耐でしのぎ、納得できるものをより有利な価格で手に入れることにこだわった。
2018年通期のバークシャー決算、バフェット氏および同社経営陣は近年の世界経済の動きについていくのが難しくなっている。
従来のように、買い時をじっくりと待つのではなく、バフェット氏は我慢しきれずに高値掴みをしてしまった。
バークシャーがアップルの株式を取得したのは、それを考える良い例だ。
2016年1~3月期、バークシャーはアップル株に初めて投資し、発行済み株式の0.2%を取得した。その理由は、バフェット氏がiPhoneの革新性に気づいたからだろう。
バフェット氏は、ネットワーク・テクノロジーの高度化と実用化が進むにつれて、アップルの成長が実現する展開を期待した。
ただ、この判断は遅すぎた。
すでにアップルの成長には陰りが出始めていた。
それ以降、アップルのiPhoneより安い中国製スマホがシェアを伸ばしている。特に、新興国では中国製スマホのシェアが圧倒的だ。アップルはiPhoneの単価引き上げで収益の減少を食い止めようとしてきたが、業況は厳しい。
その後、カネ余り環境の中で米国株式市場に資金が流入し、昨年10月初旬までIT先端企業を中心に株価は大きく上昇した。
株価が上昇する中で、バークシャーはアップル株を買い増した。
従来のバフェット氏であれば、こうした投資行動をとることは考えづらかった。
いつの間にか、バフェット氏の“よい企業(競争力あるブランド多く持つ企業)を適切な価格で買う”という投資哲学は変節し、買うから上がる、上がるから買うという相場の熱狂に振り回されてしまった。
バークシャーの損失につながったクラフト・ハインツ株に関して、バフェット氏はリスクを十分に理解できていなかった。
人々の健康意識が高まり、価格の安い大量生産型の加工食品よりも、多少値が張るが品質が良い自然食品への需要が高まっている。
バフェット氏は依然としてクラフト株を好んでいるが、同氏は筆頭株主として企業に新しい取り組みを求めてはいない。
結果的にみると、バフェット氏は変化に気づき、適応するのが遅れた。
株主に宛てた書簡の中でバフェット氏は、世界的に金利水準(国債流通利回り)が低く投資資金が滞留している(カネ余り)環境において、買収を行うにも価格が高すぎるとの心境を吐露した。
投資先を見つけて損失を挽回したいが、思うように環境が整わないというもどかしさをバフェット氏は痛感している。
見方を変えれば、バフェット氏は変化に気づくのが遅れ、現在、苦境に直面している。
今後、バフェット氏が投資を通して従来のように高い利得を手に入れることは容易ではない。
もし価格が高すぎると思うなら、高値圏で推移する株を買うのではなく、時間をかけて相場が下落するのを待てばよい。それがバフェット氏の重視してきた“忍耐”だ。
待っている間、将来、何がヒットするかを考え、それをもとに価格が低い局面をとらえて投資するのがバフェット流だった。
2016年以降、カネ余りや成長への期待から米国のIT先端企業の株価が大きく上昇することにつられ、バフェット氏は自らの投資哲学を見失った部分がある。
バフェット氏以外にも、株式・債券投資の分野で“権威”として世界の注目を集めた著名投資家が引退している。
海千山千のベテラン投資家でも対応するのが難しいほど、近年の世界経済の変化のスピードが速すぎるのだ。
アベノミクス。
何が「貯蓄から投資へ」か。
グローバル金融市場はカジノ資本主義からカオス資本主義に変質している。
投資の神様・ウォーレンバフェットでさえ、苦境に立たされる。
日本の個人投資家、素人にどうこう出来る世界ではなくなっている。
安倍晋三。
6年後の2025年問題に取り組み始めろ。
日経平均株価だけを吊り上げるアベノミクスを即座に止めて、高齢者医療の財源確保・介護施設の増設・中小企業の倒産対策、社会保障・セーフティネットの構築に即座に取り掛かれ。
素人投資家が大城ガクトに食い物にされる金融市場など、ぶち壊せ。
仮想通貨詐欺に騙される者が自己責任呼ばわりされるのは納得いかない。
アベノミクス市場をぶち壊すのが安倍晋三の自己責任なのである。

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