サバクトビバッタ中国襲来・皇帝の不徳

ロイター。
サバクトビバッタの大群が襲来し、農作物に被害が出ているケニア。首都ナイロビから約125マイル(201キロ)東のカユーソでは、畑からバッタを追い払おうとしている農民がいた。
ケニアの農民、ムウェンデ・キマンジさんは畑をバッタの大群に襲われ、農作物を食い尽くされた。
サバクトビバッタの大群が襲ってきたのは2週間前のこと。畑のモロコシ(ソルガム)、キビ、レンズ豆を食い尽くしてしまった。
3人の子どもを持つキマンジさんにとっては死活問題だ。
キマンジさんは普通、レンズ豆を売った後、残りを家族のために蓄えてきた。だが今回の被害で、家族はまもなく空腹になってしまうかもしれない。
「バッタが現れたので、すぐに当局に通報した。上空からの殺虫剤散布が始まり、一部は死んだが、残りの群れはうちの農場に移動し、作物を食い尽くした。今そこで卵を産んでいる」
バッタ襲来後に収穫できたのは、キビ半袋とレンズ豆1袋だけ。残りの作物は失われた。
「もう何も残っていない。私たちは飢えることになるかもしれない」
バッタは昨年12月に初めて確認され、ケニア、ソマリア、エチオピアの1万ヘクタール以上の農地が破壊され、食料供給が脅かされている。蝗害(こうがい)としては70年ぶり最悪の規模となっている。
時事通信。
【AFP=時事】東アフリカ各地に甚大な被害をもたらしているバッタの大群が、南スーダンに到達したと、同国政府が18日、発表した。世界で最も脆弱(ぜいじゃく)な国の一つが、さらなる苦境に直面する恐れがある。
バッタの大群はこれまで、エチオピアやソマリア、ケニア、ジブチ、エリトリア、タンザニア、スーダン、ウガンダを縦断しながら作物を荒らしてきた。大群の一部は、ロシアの首都モスクワほどの大きさにまで膨れ上がっている。
東アフリカでは、雨期に過去40年で最多規模の雨が降り、これがバッタの繁殖に拍車を掛けている。
専門家らは、3~5月の主要収穫期は特に注意が必要だと警告している。主要な農業地域で、バッタの飛来後に残された卵がふ化して、さらなる大群を形成する恐れがある。
内戦に続き干ばつと洪水に見舞われている南スーダンでは、バッタの飛来が壊滅的な状況をもたらす恐れがある。同国では人口の60%に当たる600万人がすでに深刻な飢餓に直面している。
オンヨティ・アディゴ(Onyoti Adigo)農業・食料安全保障相は17日、バッタが対ウガンダ国境の東側を越えたと発表した。南スーダンにバッタの大群が襲来するのは、70年ぶりだという。
同農業相は「報告によれば、これらは成虫だ。バッタは人間のように、事前に偵察隊を送ってくる。餌があるかどうか、繁殖に適しているかどうか確認するためだ」と説明し、「農薬散布を行う人々を訓練している。農薬や噴霧器も必要だ。散布時に移動用の車も必要だし、状況が悪化すれば航空機も必要になるだろう」と述べた。
このサバクトビバッタはインド・パキスタンにも襲来している。
インド、ラジャスタン州の食料はバッタに食い尽くされ70万人のインド軍は食糧難・食料不足で撤退した。
サバクトビバッタの襲来でインド・パキスタンは一時休戦である。
4000憶匹のサバクトビバッタが新疆ウィグル自治区に襲来している。
東アフリカで異常大量発生したサバクトビバッタが中東・インド・パキスタンへと移動してきた。
また、一説ではアフリカ・中東・インドで、それぞれ大量発生し、中国に向かっているとも。
FTOはバッタの数が6月にかけて500倍増加すると試算する。
サバクトビバッタは作物を荒らすのではない。
人間が食べる分を残さず一瞬で食い尽くす。
中国の新型コロナウィルスは共産党政府による隠蔽の人災である。
中国に迫るサバクトビバッタは湖北省・浙江省・深センを軍事封鎖した国家への「天罰」に似た「天災」である。
今、中国は軍事封鎖により道路の通行止めで、実った作物を運搬出来ない状況である。
運搬出来ない農作物をサバクトビバッタが食い尽くす。
国連は数年前から人口増加の食糧難に備えて「昆虫食」を検討しようと言っていた。
孤独相から群生相に転移相したサバクトビバッタは人間には食べられない。
日本に輸出してきた中国の農作物が運搬する術がなく、バッタに食い尽くされる。
異常気象・温暖化・大型ハリケーンが大量発生させたサバクトビバッタは映画「ガメラ2」のレギオン襲来みたいな「ヨハネの黙示録」な世紀末の襲来である。
サバクトビバッタは1日150キロ移動する。
海は超えない。
中国からの輸入品のコンテナに卵が付着し、日本に発生する危険性も、不幸中の幸いで、新型コロナ対策で中国からの輸入を止めているので、日本には及ばない。
しかし、グローバル経済だから、中国が新型コロナ・サバクトビバッタ襲来で国家転覆すると、経済的打撃が日本にも及ぶ。
COVID19感染は即座に死亡する病ではない。
手洗い・アルコール消毒・うがい・マスク・人込みを避ける、個人が予防する手段も、様々ある。
テレビの過熱報道を軽蔑して「下に視るべき」である。
さて、アメリカのインフルエンザ患者22000人超・死亡者1400人超と増加する。
アメリカCDCは「インフルエンザ死亡者」が「新型コロナウィルス」感染者だった可能性があると検査に取り掛かる。
その後の検査結果発表が遅すぎる。
新型コロナの公表が遅れた中国共産党並みに遅い。
ラストエンペラー習近平の体制は転覆すればよい。
暴君トランプも打倒されて欲しい。
民主党候補の政策も論争され始めた。
民主党候補の誰がトランプを打倒してもトランプよりはマシな大統領である。
ニューズウィーク。
<保守派が忌み嫌う国民皆保険制度が実現すれば、いま保険に加入できていない多くのアメリカ人の命も救う>。
最新の研究によれば、民主党の大統領候補バーニー・サンダースとエリザベス・ウォーレンが提案するアメリカ版「国民皆保険」(メディケア・フォー・オール)。数千万人の無保険者が満足に医者にかかれない命の格差を解消しようとする提案だが、皆保険は社会主義的で財政膨張と非効率を招く、とアメリカの主流派からはほとんど相手にされなかった。ところがそれが、逆に年間数千億ドルもの節約を可能にし、数万人の命を救うことになるという研究結果が発表された。
イェール大学とフロリダ大学、メリーランド大学の研究者が合同で行った分析によれば、アメリカの医療保険制度が、政府運営による国民皆保険に移行すると、年に推定約4500億ドルのコスト削減になるという。一世帯あたりでは年2400ドルの節約だ。
2月15日に医学雑誌ザ・ランセットに発表されたこの研究はまた、国民皆保険制度に移行すれば、年に約6万8000人の命が救える、としている。
「それでもこの数字はかなり控えめだ。私たちの研究では、現在無保険のアメリカ人の命が救われる分を考慮していないからだ。そこには名目上保険に加入しているが、自己負担金を払えないために治療を受けられなかったり、先延ばしにする人々もカウントしていない」と、イェール大学公衆衛生学部のアリソン・ガルバニは本誌に語った。
研究者らの予想では、国民皆保険の導入によって、アメリカ全体の医療費が年約13%削減されると同時に、低所得世帯への医療アクセスが改善される。
アメリカでは約3700万人が医療保険に加入しておらず、さらに4100万人が適切な医療保険に加入していない。全体で見ると、総人口の約24%がニーズに合った医療保険に加入していない。
<高すぎる医療コスト>。
この研究によれば、「雇用主と加入者による保険料と政府の資金で賄う現在の制度よりも、国民皆保険制度のほうが少ない財政支出で全体のコストをまかなえる」という。
アメリカの一人当たり医療費は世界のどの国より高いことも指摘している。これはサンダースが皆保険制度の議論でよく言っていることだ。
「アメリカの医療費が他の先進国と比べて驚くほど高いことには、注目する価値がある」と、シンクタンク経済政策研究所のジョシュ・ビベンス研究部長は本誌に語った。ビベンスは今回の研究には関与していない。
「この事実をふまえ、他の国々が集中管理体制によって医療関連コストを抑制していることを考えると、これまでのところ、『メディケア・フォー・オール』が適切に運営されるなら、国の医療費を節約できる可能性が最も高いのではないかと思う」と、彼は言う。
サンダース上院議員はこの研究を絶賛し、自分の医療保険改革は「人権としての医療」を保証する最善策だと付け加えた。
「労働者の家計負担を数千ドル減らし、年に何万人もの死を防ぐことになるだろう」と、サンダースは語る。「製薬業界や医療保険業界のCEOは気に入らないかもしれないが、私が大統領になったら、こういう連中の強欲は終わりだ。私たちは国民皆保険を達成する」。
<民間保険と併用案も>。
国民皆保険制度については、共和党のみならず民主党内の中道派からもかなり厳しい批判がある。彼らが疑問視するのは、政府が負担するコストの財源をどう考えているのかということだ。
サンダースとウォーレンは、連邦政府が単一の保険提供者となる国民皆保険制度を特に推している、
だが大統領指名を争う民主党候補たちは、公的医療保険制度の拡大を支持しつつも、それとは違うことを主張している。ピート・ブティジェッジ元サウスベンド市長とジョー・バイデン前副大統領、エイミー・クロブチャー上院議員らは、民間の医療保険に加入する権利を維持すると同時に、弱者のための「公的な選択肢」が存在するべきだと主張する。ブティジェッジは自分の案を「求める人すべてのための医療保険」と名付けた。
ガルバニにいわせると、ブティジェッジの案は、コストの削減どころか増加につながる。「一般管理費や医薬品コスト、病院や診療所の診療費、および不正行為の摘発にかかる費用にあてる財源がなければ、『求める人すべてのための医療保険』は、現状よりも年1750億ドルほど高くつく可能性がある」と、彼は本誌に語った。「『メディケア・フォー・オール』より6000億ドル以上、多くなる」。
<予想される強い抵抗>。
民主党の誰かが大統領になった場合、大がかりな医療制度改革案をねじれ状態にある議会で成立させるのはかなり困難な戦いになる。一部の穏健な民主党員でさえ、国民皆保険制度を支持することに不安を抱いている。そして共和党は長い間、国民皆保険制度への移行をめざす左派の動きに抵抗している。
バラク・オバマ大統領時代に成立した医療保険制度改革法(オバマケア)は、公的医療保険ではなく、従来の民間の保険への加入を個人に促す仕組みだが、いまだに保険加入の義務化をめぐって裁判所で憲法判断が争われている状態だ。トランプ政権は代替法案を導入することなく、この制度を完全に撤廃しようとしている。
国民皆保険制度に関しては、これまで他の研究で今回のガルバニらの研究とは異なる結論が出ている。コストが削減できるという結論に達した研究もあれば、コストが大幅に増えると予測する研究もある。
経済政策研究所のビベンズは本誌に、今回の研究は国民皆保険制度によるコスト削減を高く見積もりすぎていると、指摘したが、「それほど大きく外れているわけではない」と語った。「メディケア・フォー・オールのような制度を10年以上続けられれば、大きなコスト削減になるのは間違いない」。
[ニューヨーク 18日 ロイター] – 米大統領選の民主党候補指名を争うブルームバーグ前ニューヨーク市長は18日、金融取引税の導入や消費者保護の強化など盛った包括的な金融サービス政策案を発表した。
米投資銀行出身で、金融情報サービス事業で富を築いた同氏としては、大きな方向転換となる。
ブルームバーグ陣営は「世界的に成功した金融技術会社の創業者として、ブルームバーグ氏はシステムをよく理解しており、すべての米国民にとってより良いシステムにするための比類ない資質を備えている」と訴えた。
一連の提案の中で最も目を引くのは、株式、債券、先物契約の決済に対する0.1%の取引税導入や、銀行の自己勘定取引を規制する「ボルカールール」の強化、金融取引の速度規制だ。
ブルームバーグ氏はこのほか、トランプ政権下で後退した消費者保護を強化するため、銀行の自己資本比率引き上げや健全性審査の厳格化などを提案。
金融危機の際に公的資金で救済された連邦住宅抵当金庫(ファニーメイ)と連邦住宅貸付抵当公社(フレディマック)の統合も提案した。
さらに、国民の銀行サービスへのアクセス改善や、司法省内に「企業犯罪」を担当するチームを新設する案を提示した。
ブルームバーグ氏は、19日に開催される民主党候補者のテレビ討論会に初めて参加する。
コンパス・ポイント・リサーチ&トレーディングの政策リサーチ責任者アイザック・ボルタンスキー氏は、今回発表された政策案について「ブルームバーグ氏が討論会に初めて参加することを踏まえると、進歩派の批判を弱めることが主な狙いではないか」と指摘した。
そのうえで「提案の全体的なトーンからは、民主党におけるポピュリストへの傾斜や大幅な政策シフトの可能性がうかがわれる」とした。
ブルームバーグ氏の提案には、特に取引税を巡って金融業界団体から強い反発が出そうだ。
米証券業金融市場協会(SIMFA)のケン・ベンツェン最高経営責任者(CEO)は取引税について、中間層の預金者や退職者の痛手になると指摘。「市場の発展や効率化、競争などで投資コストがゼロに向かいつつある中で、事実上の売上税を課してコストを引き上げるのは理にかなわない」と批判した。
一方で、一部のアナリストはブルームバーグ氏が大統領選で勝利した場合に金融業界へのリスクとなる可能性は低いと指摘。コーエン・ワシントン・リサーチ・グループのアナリスト、ジャレト・シーバーグ氏はリポートで「民主党候補は勝つために大手行に焦点を当てた案が必要だ」としたうえで「ブルームバーグ氏は市場を理解しており、経済に悪影響をもたらす政策を推し進める可能性は低い」との見方を示した。
文春オンライン。
民主党出身のアメリカ大統領には共通する3要素がある。それは、若いこと、エリート中のエリートの学歴と経歴を持ち合わせていること、そして演説がうまいことだ。オバマ大統領も、クリントン大統領も、ケネディ大統領もこの3つを持ち合わせている。
今回の大統領選挙でも、この条件にぴったり合う候補者が1人いる。それが、38歳のピーター・ブティジェッジである。
アイオワ州の民主党予備選挙では、下馬評1位だったバーニー・サンダース(78)を押さえて1位。ニューハンプシャー州でも、サンダースに僅差で負けはしたものの2位につけ、一時は支持率でトップを走ったエリザベス・ウォーレン(70)を獲得率で3倍近く引き離した。
「目を瞑って聞くとオバマのようだ」。
38歳という若さに加え、スマートな経歴とよどみない爽やかな演説で指名争いのトップグループに駆け上ってきたブティジェッジ。彼はどんな人物なのか。
ブティジェッジは、ハーバード大を優秀な成績で卒業後、アメリカでもっとも優秀な学生が手にすると言われるローズ奨学金に選ばれ、英オックスフォード大学に留学する。ローズ奨学金はクリントン大統領も手にしているが、全米で選ばれるのは約30人。在学生が選ばれた大学は、その学生のために大学主催で盛大なパーティをするほど栄誉のある賞である。
その後、ブティジェッジは、エリート集団のコンサルティング大手マッキンゼーで働く。趣味のピアノの腕前はプロ並みで、複数の語学も堪能だ。父親の母国語であるマルタ語をはじめ、ヨーロッパの言葉はほとんど話せると言われている。
よどみない演説は、ハーバード大の先輩であるオバマ大統領を彷彿させる。「目を瞑って聞くとオバマ大統領のようだ」とインタビューで語る支持者もいるほどだ。ちなみに、クリントン大統領もオバマ大統領も、ブティジェッジと同じように、とても勝てるとは思えない位置から予備選の演説で支持者の心を掴んできた。
今回の大統領選で名乗りを上げるまで、ブティジェッジは、インディアナ州の人口10万人ほどのサウスベンド市の市長をつとめる無名の政治家であった。
そのため立候補当時、各メディアは共通して困ったことがあった。名字の発音の仕方がわからなかったのである。
若者に一番人気のあるテレビ番組「デイリー・ショー」では、大統領選を伝えるキャスターやコメンテーターが、ブティジェッジの発音に困る動画を集めて特集を組んでいたほどだ。この番組は大学生の政治知識になっていると言われるほどの人気番組だ。
徐々に注目を集めると、この番組で「ブティジェッジって誰?」という特集ビデオが作られた。そして、最後に司会者のトレーバー・ノアはこう語った。
「いくら探しても悪いところがないんだ! 完璧なんだ」。
ネットでパートナーと出会う。
彼の経歴を見ると、エリート街道を苦労なく歩いてきたようにみえるが、そうとも言い切れない部分がある。
ブティジェッジは、ゲイであることを公表している。2019年4月に立候補宣言した時も、テレビ討論会に出た時も、同性婚をしたチャスティンが一緒にいた。会場ではハグし、キスもしあう。
しかし、同性愛者であることを公表したのは2015年。ここに来るまでの道は容易ではなかったことが窺える。
「ニューヨークタイムズ」に掲載されたハーバード時代の同級生のインタビューによれば、当時はハーバードといえども、まだゲイ反対の空気が強かったという。そんな中、ブティジェッジは「男らしさ」に対して努力していた。例えば、低い声で演説する練習をしていたという。ガールフレンドがいたこともある。ブティジェッジによると、自分がゲイだと確信した20代の時から、ゲイであることがわかると自分が夢見る将来がなくなる、という恐怖を感じながら、もがいていたという。
大統領選の中でも、難しい立場に置かれることもある。今年2月3日、アイオワ州の民主党予備選挙の際には、「ピート市長がゲイだとは知らなかった。私の票を返して欲しい」と語気を強める女性の姿が報じられて話題になった。対応した民主党のスタッフが「あなたは彼の政策が気に入って投票したんでしょ。ゲイかどうかなんか関係ないんじゃないの」と諌めた言葉も全米のニュースを駆け巡った。アメリカでは、宗教的な背景もあって同性愛は敏感な話題なのだ。
最近では、映画だけではなくテレビドラマにも、同性婚の設定が出てくるようになった。それでも、アメリカの大統領が同性婚を認めたのはオバマ大統領の再選の大統領選時(2012年)で、ほんの8年前。その際もオバマ大統領は悩みに悩み、自分で演説原稿を書いたエピソードが知られている。
1982年生まれのブティジェッジにとっても、カミングアウトは容易なものではなかったのだろう。政治的野心を持つ彼は、カミングアウトした上で有権者から「パーフェクト」と言われるために、それ以外の経歴を追求してきたかのようにも見える。
その一つが、軍の経験だ。ブティジェッジは2009年に予備役に登録。2010年インディアナ州の財務長官に立候補して共和党候補に破れて落選するが、翌年にサウスベンド市長に29歳の若さで当選、1期目の任期中の2014年に7カ月の休みを取ってアフガニスタンに従軍する。ここでの経験から覚悟を決め、2015年に満を持してカミングアウトし、2018年に同性婚することになる。
夫となるチャスティンと出会ったのは、出会い系アプリ「Hinge」だ。ブティジェッジがプロポーズをし、チャスティンはブティジェッジの名字を名乗るようになる。2019年5月には、2人は夫婦として「タイム」誌の表紙を飾っている。いま、ブティジェッジが演説をし、そして夫と抱き合いキスする姿や一緒にインタビューを受ける姿を見ると、今が一番彼にとって安らかな時間なのだろうな、と思えてしまう。彼の人生は、今始まったばかりとも言えるのだ。
若者からの支持は低迷。
ブティジェッジは今後、支持を広げられるのだろうか。
白人男性の有権者には、基本的に共和党が強い。民主党内では、若者、女性、人種・宗教といったマイノリティ票の獲得が重要になる。
民主党の大統領候補のトップ4の候補者は、ブティジェッジ以外は、サンダースも、バイデン(77)も、ウォーレンも70歳代。コメディ・ショーでは、この3人の討論会でのやり取りは、物忘れする年寄りの茶飲み話として茶化されている。
だが、21世紀になってから成人した「ミレニアル世代」の人気は、自らを「社会主義者」と言うサンダースが一番だ。この世代の旗手として知られる、史上最年少の女性下院議員、アレクサンドリア・オカシオ゠コルテスは、サンダースへの支持を公言し選挙イベントに帯同する。
特に、若者には「大学授業料フリー」と声高に叫ぶ演説が圧倒的に支持されている。アメリカでは、大学生1人に年1000万円の教育費がかかると言われており、大学を卒業するときにはほとんどの学生が教育ローンを背負っている。中学校の卒業式で「この学校のシナモンパイは美味しい、フリーにすべき!」とサンダースを真似する演説動画が全米で話題になるほど、サンダースの演説は子供にまで理解されている。
一方のブティジェッジは、ミレニアル世代からの支持は低く、どちらかというと、有権者の年齢を上がるほど支持が高くなる傾向がある。ミレニアル世代から見ると、エリートすぎて友達になりにくい「先生のお気に入り」のような存在と認識されてしまっているようだ。
今回のニューハンプシャーの予備選挙で、ブティジェッジのライバルとして頭角を表したのは女性候補の1人、59歳のエイミー・クロブシャーだ。3期目の上院議員だが、ニューハンプシャー州の予備選挙の直前のテレビ討論会でディベート力を見せつけ、注目が集まっている。政策は、ブティジェッジと同じ現実的な中道派である。
LGBTQグループはブティジェッジをどう見るのか。
最後に、ゲイをカミングアウトしているブティジェッジに対する、LGBTQグループの思いを紹介しよう。
LGBTQグループの胸中は複雑だ。彼らにインタビューすると、カミングアウトした人が大統領候補の一角に入っていることに驚き、そして喜んでいる。だが、それを表現してはいけないのではないか、と思っている人も少なくない。カミングアウトしていない人にとっては、彼を支持していると自分自身のこともバレてしまうのではないか、という不安もあるという。
ブティジェッジの政策は、社会主義者を自認するサンダースやウォーレンに比べると、マイノリティにそれほど優しいものではない。だが、ブティジェッジが政策について語らなくても、ゲイという背景から「マイノリティにとっては気持ちをわかってくれる人」という思いに繋がっている部分もあるだろう。
ブティジェッジが序盤から順調なのは、12月までの世論調査では表に出なかった「隠れブティジェッジ票」があったのではないか。それが、アイオワ州、ニューハンプシャー州で、票として出現したのかもしれない。
今後、予備選はマイノリティの多い州に移っていく。これからのブティジェッジへの支持の広がりに注目したい。

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