ウィワーク・ウーバー・日経株式市場をゴールドマンサックスが結ぶ

1年前GAFAはFAANGだった。
ディズニーピクチャーの動画配信・アマゾンプライムに負け、ネットフリックスが一抜けした。
その後、ウーバーが取って代わると一瞬の噂が立った。
デマだったようだ。
ウーバーは今年7月~9月期で売上4118億、利益-1260億の赤字会社である。
ウーバーはタクシー配車サイトライドシェア事業。
タクシー免許なしで個人がネットで客を取るビジネス。
白タク行為である。
ソフトバンクが8600億円出資し筆頭株主である。
ただしウーバー、NYのタクシー2018年登録者1万3600台に対し、6万台が稼働し、大手タクシー会社を潰している。
ウーバーのIPO主幹事がゴールドマンサックス・モルガンスタンレーである。
そもそも、ソフトバンクヴィジョンンファンドはIT系のユニコーン企業に投資する方針だった。
ユニコーン企業とは時価総額1000億円以上の非上場、設立10年以内の技術系ベンチャー企業である。
ウィワークもユニコーン企業を謳っていたがシェアオフィスの不動産事業だった。
5兆円の株価がソフトバンクヴィジョンンファンドが出資する時8000億円に下落した。
現在、ウィワークの価値は3000億円である。
ソフトバンクヴィジョンンファンドは2兆円投資している。
ウィワークのIPO主幹事はゴールドマンサックスである。
ウィワークもウーバーもIT企業ではない。
2年前、日経株式市場はレイダリオのブリッジウォーターに「世紀の空売り」を仕掛けられ。
今年の8月14日、逆イールドが発生以降、ゴールドマンサックス・クレディスイス・JPモルガン・オランダ銀行に株価操縦されてきた。
最も投資したのはゴールドマンサックスとクレディスイスである。
この1年、日経平均株価を操縦したのはゴールドマンサックスである。
他の海外勢が売ればゴールドマンサックスは買い越し、買えばゴールドマンサックスは売り越す。
ゴールドマンサックスの投資・投機により、日経平均株価は値動きを上下させてきた。
昨日から、ダウ先物チャートと連動してきた日経株価チャートグラフが値動きを変えてきた。
ブルームバーグ。
ソフトバンクグループはシェアオフィス事業を展開する米ウィーワークへの大規模融資をてこ入れするため、新たな借り入れの取りまとめ役にゴールドマン・サックス・グループグループを起用した。
事情に詳しい関係者によると、ゴールドマンは17億5000万ドル(約1900億円)の信用枠設定をまとめようとしている。
ソフトバンクGはウィーワーク支援パッケージの一部としてデットファイナンスで50億ドルを用意するとしており、この実現に向けた最初の一歩となる。
この取引が金融機関に受け入れられやすくなるよう、ソフトバンクGを借り主、ウィーワークを共同借り主として記載するという。
ゴールドマンはこの信用枠設定に参加する関心の度合いを測るため、金融各社に接触していると、関係者は述べた。
目標は年内に設定できることだという。
新たな信用枠が設定されれば、総額約11億ドルの既存の仕組みに取って代わる。
ソフトバンクGとゴールドマン、ウィーワークの代表はいずれも、この新たな資金計画についてコメントを控えた。
この信用枠が設定されれば、ソフトバンクGが計画する残り33億ドルのデットファイナンスもまとまると関係者の1人は語った。
このアレンジを担う銀行はまだ明らかになっていない。
ソフトバンクGは以前、33億ドルのうち11億ドルはシニア担保付き債、22億ドルは無担保債で構成するとしていた。
ブルームバーグ。
ヘッジファンド運用会社ダイモン・アジア・キャピタル(シンガポール)は、同社のマクロファンドでポートフォリオのほぼ3分の1が、ブラックスワン的な市場イベントと混乱から利益を得られるようにポジションを組んでいる。
ダニー・ヨン最高投資責任者(CIO)が述べた。
ヨン氏はブルームバーグテレビジョンのインタビューで、パッシブ投資とアルゴリズム売買の人気の高まりが「市場の油断」を助長したと指摘。
格別に大きな市場の動きの頻度は減っているが、次の大きな調整は世界金融危機ほどの規模になるかもしれないと語った。
「過去には、恐らく年に2回程度の頻度で混乱があった。しかし今、大きな動きは2年または3年に1度と、間隔が長くなる可能性がある。そうなった場合、混乱は以前よりもずっと大きくなると私は考える」と述べた。
ダイモンは割安なヘッジとして、金利と通貨のオプションに投資。
米中貿易交渉の決裂や米連邦準備制度がさらなる利下げを余儀なくされる場合などのリスクを、オプション市場は過小評価しているというのがヨン氏の認識だ。
同氏はまた、金または金のコールオプションをヘッジとして保有することも勧めている。
ダイモンの旗艦ファンド「ダイモン・アジア・マクロ・ファンド」の運用資産は約15億ドル(約1600億円)だが、オプションの持つレバレッジのおかげで、市場混乱が起こらなかった場合に失うのは資産の3%以下だという。
ゴールドマンサックスの暗躍に日本は無防備すぎる。
ゴールドマンサックスは日本から、まだまだ奪う気満々である。
ダイモンアジアキャピタルくらい慎重・敏感になるべきである。
ヒンデンブルグオーメンはアメリカ株の急落・暴落の予兆を示す指標。
株価上昇トレンドの時にのみ点灯する指標である。
昨年2月のダウ平均の史上最大1500ドルの大暴落の2週間前、ヒンデンブルグオーメンは点灯した。
1月19日にヒンデンブルグオーメンが点灯し、1月26日NYダウが史上最高値を付ける。
1月30日にヒンデンブルグオーメンは再点灯し、2月5日にNYダウが歴史上最大の暴落に見舞われた。
今年11月14日ヒンデンブルグオーメンが点灯した。
ヒンデンブルグオーメンの有効期間・警戒期間は1か月である。
現在NYダウは史上最高値を付けている。
ヒンデンブルグオーメンの暴落的中率は40~50%。
逆イールドが発生してから12月14日で4か月となる。
逆イールドの警戒期間は1年半である。
その中で4か月は大きな節目である。
暴落的中率は100%である。
12月14日にヒンデンブルグオーメンと逆イールドがゴールデンクロスする。
明日以降、サウジアラムコIPO、イギリス総選挙、トランプ弾劾訴追、米中貿易協定合意か追加制裁か、ヒンデンブルグオーメンと逆イールドのゴールデンクロス。
色々ある。
アベノミクスの末路を誰も見届けようとしないのが不思議である。
少なくとも金融庁はゴールドマンサックスの動きを監視・警戒すべきである。

“ウィワーク・ウーバー・日経株式市場をゴールドマンサックスが結ぶ” への275件の返信

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